Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

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Nathan Klein
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Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

Post by Nathan Klein »

I was not originally gonna do this preview but I got some spur of the moment motivation I hope you guys enjoy my first preview of the year. Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview
"Nathan you tweaking"
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Cleo Patra
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Re: Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

Post by Cleo Patra »

I cheered when I saw this thread cause I have a horse in a Nathan preview! Wooo!
AT STUD
DR... ROYAL ASSASSIN | WITTED
TR... DAY TO DAY | FIRST CLASS | MEGAPIXELS | MIJO | VALAR | WILDNESS
Future Sires... CINEMA (Y69 or 70) | TRAILBLAZING (Y68 or 69)
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Sara Julin
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Re: Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

Post by Sara Julin »

This was so exciting to listen to, and pretty race horses to look at :D
It sure inspired me and got me extra excited (and nervous) for tonight's race call!

Good luck to everyone participating! ^^
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Eric Gray
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Re: Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

Post by Eric Gray »

Yes, good luck to all.
Jake Simski
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Re: Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

Post by Jake Simski »

Add people see me, I'd be dimm witted and lacking electricity to Nokk the quality of this preview
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Ronnie Dee
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Re: Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

Post by Ronnie Dee »

My early ML had Arizona as the 5/2 favorite. But things have changed with the addition of Crayon into the field. With Crayon making it into the race, how will a more contested pace adversely impact Arizona? Nokk, Witted, and Skippy's entries will likely benefit from this more contested pace. But the race seems very well set up for Geologist to challenge the pace setters in the stretch. Below is my updated ML.

Updated ML
Crayon 6/1
Maidlow's entries 10/1 (if coupled)
Nokk 8/1
Deputy Dog 20/1
Witted 5/1
Skippy's entries 8/1 (if coupled)
Freako De Gallo 12/1
Winds of Mayhem 20/1
Geologist 7/2
Arizona 7/2
Electricity 20/1

Without the benefit of tote board odds, my best guess is Geologist will be the biggest overlay and Crayon will be the biggest underlay (he will likely go off as the post time favorite).
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Hero Morgan
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Ronnie Dee
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Re: Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

Post by Ronnie Dee »

Pegasus Classic Winning Pay Out: $42,420 on $100 Bet!!!

I admit that I thought the winner was a 20/1 long shot (but not 400/1). But I did very lazy handicapping. If you sort the winner's races in descending order (which I did not do when I handicapped the race), the 3 very poor performances (12th, 10th, and 5th) were on muddy tracks. The 3rd place finishes were at 8.5F and 5F (BT). The 2nd place finishes were in the Derby and on a sloppy track. The rest were wins.

The other 5 that earned a check (there was a DH for 5th) were all very logical horses -- Crayon (6/1), Best Revenge (8/1), Geologist (7/2), Witted (5/1), and Nokk (8/1). As far as big disappointments, Arizona's chance were pretty slim after the 1st call so he has an excuse. But I think I way over-rated Arizona (7/2) because of his trainer.

Note: these are my posted ML odds before the race was run. I do not have access to the post time odds.
Great Stallions at Great Prices -- Stud Fee of only $12,500 each

Hero Morgan
5 furlong specialist extraordinaire!

Bennie and the Jets
SC AW Classic (twice) and Pegasus Winner

Mage
Versatile (AR/DR/TR and AM/DM/TM) RL stallion
Eric Gray
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Re: Y58 Pegasus Classic Preview

Post by Eric Gray »

While DD didn’t perform how I would’ve liked, I enjoyed the odds that you put on the race. It would be nice if that could somehow be added into the sim.
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