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Ronnie Dee
Hall of Fame
Posts: 3261
Joined: 17 years ago

Re: Public Service Announcment

Post by Ronnie Dee »

In another thread, Art K said:
...I haven’t sold much in a couple of seasons so I’m not quite sure what a fair deal is...
Link to a recently completed auction of late bloomers.

Over the past few years, Mike Bryant has had a number of auctions of late bloomers. Keep in mind that "blooming" information was not available to players before Year 54.
Great Stallions at Great Prices -- Stud Fee of only $12,500 each

Hero Morgan
5 furlong specialist extraordinaire!

Bennie and the Jets
SC AW Classic (twice) and Pegasus Winner

Mage
Versatile (AR/DR/TR and AM/DM/TM) RL stallion
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Andrew Chillin
Hall of Fame
Posts: 2453
Joined: 4 years ago

Re: Public Service Announcment

Post by Andrew Chillin »

A horse is only worth what someone is willing to pay for it. Someone will gamble more money on a late bloomer for the chance it improves .01 or more because that could be the difference between that next level or not. As a guy that breeds hundred on horses in each division every year I can say the number of horses that reach freak value after improving are substantially less than the number of improvers that never change comment, let alone the number that move up 1.

Value is subjective and objective. What is the man with the money willing to gamble for this? To say this Stakes late bloomer horse is the same value as its current Freak counterpart, goes against objective reasoning. Not just For Sale, but trade value as well and valuations for mare swaps as by foal production. I don't know where it falls on the scale or how much it will jump from at .01 to 1, but the numbers suggest lesser and averages say that it will not be enough to change comments. Furthermore, it'll probably under perform. That is just a Pessimistic disposition on my part, but one that seems to be shared by other breeders of larger numbers. Because we see it, every day, week, season, year after year.
Kelly L Haggerty wrote: 2 years ago Last year I won a G2 with an allowance peak TR https://www.simhorseracing.com/horse.ph ... ID=1347767 and I have seen a range of results from improvers, but not yet a "double jump" or one that becomes a superstar. There are always exceptions to a rule and I don't think that was Danny's point. He is merely stating that nothing is guaranteed.

One of the first things I was asked by a vet when I got here was which division I wanted to try. Maybe there should be a newbie article about the divisions and the difficulty level of each, although perhaps that is somewhat subjective. Also, I don't know if any one player could write the article if most barns specialize. I see a lot of DR and Chaser disposal auctions and it always makes me wonder if they would have had a better experience if they had tried starting in an easier spot.
For Kelly's viewing pleasures, I present my humble brags and great strokes of luck. The ever elusive double improvers to stardom.
Allowance lb -Stakes peak-Freak
Claimer LB-Stakes LB-Freak
Allowance LB-Stakes peak-Freak
Allowance LB-Stakes peak-Freak
Stakes progressive-Stakes peak-freak

Well...maybe they're only stars in my barn; but they're not bums and they are fun.
;p
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Kelly Haggerty
Eclipse Champion
Posts: 1546
Joined: 3 years ago

Re: Public Service Announcment

Post by Kelly Haggerty »

Wow! Maybe I give up on mine too soon. I didn't know MSR was a claimer, that is some kind of jump.
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