BRAT Ratings for Dirt Sprinter Stallions

[Wc Lee]

*** Update #2 ***

There were several stallions that were left off of this list because one or more of their parents and/or grandparents were racing or doing workouts prior to Year 44. It looks like there was a big change in how workout times and speed figures were done between Year 43 and Year 44.

If you look at the workout times for Turf 3 Furlongs for Year 43, you will see that the fastest workout time was 35.90 seconds
https://www.simhorseracing.com/rankings ... e=&Type=-1

If you look at the workout times for Turf 3 Furlongs for Year 44, you will see that the fastest workout time was 35.24 seconds
https://www.simhorseracing.com/rankings ... e=&Type=-1

Speed Figures also dramatically improved between Year 43 and Year 44. This makes BRAT useless for evaluating any horse that was racing or doing workouts prior to Year 44. I have eliminated those horses from the BRAT calculation.

One horse in particular, Storm, was hurt by this change as his Dam Sire, "Look Close (NY)" had a BSF of 85. "Look Close (NY") won the "Steward's Cup Sprint" in Year 30 with a Speed Figure of 78!

Take a look at the Speed Figures for the "Year 30 Steward's Cup Sprint"

I want to thank John Smith for pointing this change in Speed Figure and workout times out to me.

***Update****

I have updated the list to include Stallions that have either Game Point Sires or unraced/unworked out horses as parent/grandparents. If you see N/A in one of the columns, it means that one or more of the horses in that generation do not have a BSF or workout time

This puts "Fuego De Del Mar (JPN)", "Dopamine (FL)", and "Rule Britannia (KY)" near the top of the list. All 3 Stallions did not have a parent or grandparent that had a BSF or workout time

****************

As a companion table to my Feature News article on Thoroughbred Breeding Analysis: Dirt Sprinters, I am showing the BRAT ratings for all of the Dirt Sprinters on the Stud Book that have 3 generations of BRAT data. I do not include Stallions that have one (or more) of the parents (2) or grandparents(4) that is Game Sired or otherwise has never ran in a race or has done a workout.

The table lists the name of the horse, the overall BRAT, the predicted BSF if you translate BRAT into BSF, the BRAT for the horse, the average BRAT for his 2 parents and the average BRAT for the 4 grandparents.

To use this date, you will have to compute the BRAT for the mare and then average the BRAT for the mare with the BRAT for the stallion. You can then convert the resulting BRAT into predicted BSF using the Linear Regression equation I supplied in my article on "Thoroughbred Racing Analysis: Workouts - Dirt 3F vs BSF" https://www.simhorseracing.com/featurer ... leID=19196.

The data is in CSV (comma separated format) so you can load the data into a Spreadsheet program for easy reference.

I will update the table at the Break with the new stallions that get put to stud.

NAME, BRAT, pred BSF, BRAT(self), BRAT(parents), BRAT(grand)
Storm (TX), 0:34.17, 98.9, 0:34.09, 0:34.26, N/A
Alacazam (NY), 0:34.21, 98.1, 0:34.09, 0:34.34, N/A
Skathis (KS), 0:34.25, 97.2, 0:34.14, 0:34.36, N/A
King of Fools (JPN), 0:34.26, 97.0, 0:34.14, 0:34.39, N/A
Lord Prism (MD), 0:34.28, 96.6, 0:34.19, 0:34.39, N/A
Fuego De Del Mar (JPN), 0:34.32, 95.8, 0:34.19, 0:34.46, N/A
Dhevyn (CA), 0:34.33, 95.6, 0:34.09, 0:34.58, N/A
Dopamine (FL), 0:34.34, 95.4, 0:34.34, N/A, N/A
Dangerous Game's (MD), 0:34.34, 95.4, 0:34.34, N/A, N/A
Buildyouasnowman (LA), 0:34.34, 95.4, 0:34.34, N/A, N/A
One More Look (FL), 0:34.35, 95.2, 0:34.29, 0:34.41, N/A
Sinister Mister (FL), 0:34.35, 95.2, 0:34.43, 0:34.29, N/A
Denzel (NJ), 0:34.36, 95.0, 0:34.14, 0:34.36, 0:34.58
Most Spirited (NY), 0:34.37, 94.8, 0:34.29, 0:34.46, N/A
Known to Stare (OK), 0:34.37, 94.8, 0:34.24, 0:34.51, N/A
Togo (KY), 0:34.37, 94.8, 0:34.19, 0:34.56, N/A
Drift King (LA), 0:34.38, 94.6, 0:34.38, 0:34.39, N/A
Rule Britannia (KY), 0:34.38, 94.6, 0:34.38, N/A, N/A
Money Storm (LA), 0:34.38, 94.6, 0:34.34, 0:34.43, N/A
Turn the Tables (LA), 0:34.38, 94.6, 0:34.43, 0:34.34, N/A
Shady Plan (CA), 0:34.39, 94.4, 0:34.38, 0:34.41, N/A
Ryker (FL), 0:34.39, 94.4, 0:34.48, 0:34.32, N/A
Alc Shark On Fire (FL), 0:34.40, 94.2, 0:34.14, 0:34.68, N/A
Writteninthestars (MD), 0:34.40, 94.2, 0:34.38, 0:34.44, N/A
Pocket Calculator (LA), 0:34.42, 93.8, 0:34.48, 0:34.26, 0:34.52
Syer Line (FL), 0:34.42, 93.8, 0:34.38, 0:34.46, N/A
Showyouanempire (KS), 0:34.42, 93.8, 0:34.58, 0:34.26, N/A
Ludicrously (LA), 0:34.42, 93.8, 0:34.48, 0:34.36, N/A
Wayfinder (KY), 0:34.42, 93.8, 0:34.38, 0:34.46, N/A
Mr Narcissistic (TX), 0:34.42, 93.8, 0:34.43, 0:34.56, 0:34.26
Adjust (CA), 0:34.43, 93.6, 0:34.24, 0:34.63, N/A
Row One Up (CA), 0:34.43, 93.6, 0:34.24, 0:34.63, N/A
Show Me the Way (KY), 0:34.43, 93.6, 0:34.43, N/A, N/A
Big Bank (KY), 0:34.43, 93.6, 0:34.43, N/A, N/A
Fire Balls (FL), 0:34.44, 93.4, 0:34.48, 0:34.41, N/A
Symbol of Spirit (TX), 0:34.44, 93.4, 0:34.48, 0:34.41, N/A
The Rattler (CA), 0:34.45, 93.2, 0:34.38, 0:34.53, N/A
River Dance (MD), 0:34.45, 93.2, 0:34.24, 0:34.58, 0:34.52
Perfectly Splendid (LA), 0:34.45, 93.2, 0:34.29, 0:34.58, 0:34.48
Under the Graveyard (OK), 0:34.45, 93.2, 0:34.38, 0:34.53, N/A
Discord (CA), 0:34.45, 93.2, 0:34.38, 0:34.53, N/A
Relentlessdefender (MD), 0:34.45, 93.2, 0:34.38, 0:34.53, N/A
Lifeinthefastlane (MD), 0:34.46, 92.9, 0:34.53, 0:34.49, 0:34.37
Blow By You (OK), 0:34.46, 92.9, 0:34.48, 0:34.36, 0:34.54
Ghost Adventure (LA), 0:34.46, 92.9, 0:34.48, 0:34.36, 0:34.54
Illegalist (LA), 0:34.46, 92.9, 0:34.34, 0:34.58, N/A
Close to Being Mad (KY), 0:34.46, 92.9, 0:34.38, 0:34.56, N/A
Sunshineofyourlove (OK), 0:34.46, 92.9, 0:34.48, 0:34.46, N/A
At Time's End (CA), 0:34.46, 92.9, 0:34.34, 0:34.58, N/A
Bugs Bunny (KY), 0:34.47, 92.7, 0:34.24, 0:34.53, 0:34.63
Waitathousandyears (CA), 0:34.47, 92.7, 0:34.63, 0:34.32, N/A
Nimdiddly (LA), 0:34.47, 92.7, 0:34.24, 0:34.39, 0:34.79
Tell Me Why (MD), 0:34.47, 92.7, 0:34.48, 0:34.46, N/A
Lies That Bind (FL), 0:34.48, 92.5, 0:34.53, 0:34.44, N/A
Stirling String (LA), 0:34.48, 92.5, 0:34.38, 0:34.53, 0:34.54
H.M.S. Albion (KY), 0:34.48, 92.5, 0:34.34, 0:34.63, N/A
Lika King (TX), 0:34.48, 92.5, 0:34.48, 0:34.49, N/A
Swords of Glory (KY), 0:34.48, 92.5, 0:34.48, N/A, N/A
Steal a Glance (KY), 0:34.49, 92.3, 0:34.53, 0:34.46, N/A
Endless Vibes (NY), 0:34.49, 92.3, 0:34.43, 0:34.56, N/A
Jet Madness (KY), 0:34.49, 92.3, 0:34.48, 0:34.51, N/A
Arcadian (NY), 0:34.49, 92.3, 0:34.34, 0:34.65, N/A
March of the Saint (OK), 0:34.49, 92.3, 0:34.48, 0:34.51, N/A
Mastered (MD), 0:34.50, 92.1, 0:34.53, 0:34.48, N/A
Private Parts (OK), 0:34.50, 92.1, 0:34.48, 0:34.53, N/A
Just Elated (FL), 0:34.50, 92.1, 0:34.37, 0:34.63, N/A
Lost Souls Forever (LA), 0:34.50, 92.1, 0:34.53, 0:34.48, N/A
Rock N Roll (MD), 0:34.50, 92.1, 0:34.24, 0:34.75, 0:34.52
Escobar (FL), 0:34.50, 92.1, 0:34.38, 0:34.63, N/A
If Looks Could Talk (FL), 0:34.50, 92.1, 0:34.53, 0:34.48, N/A
Dark Side (MD), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.38, 0:34.53, 0:34.63
Ddaeng (NY), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.43, 0:34.61, N/A
Saint Julien (KY), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.48, 0:34.56, N/A
Fortune and Glory (CA), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.38, 0:34.65, N/A
Know the Result (OK), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.48, 0:34.34, 0:34.72
Sweep to Victory (FL), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.43, 0:34.58, 0:34.51
Root Pack (FL), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.58, 0:34.39, 0:34.56
Looks So Fly (MD), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.53, 0:34.51, N/A
Syer Puzzled (FL), 0:34.51, 91.9, 0:34.38, 0:34.65, N/A
Free Fallin (NE), 0:34.52, 91.7, 0:34.43, 0:34.63, 0:34.51
Rascal (KY), 0:34.52, 91.7, 0:34.53, 0:34.56, 0:34.47
Know I'm Not Scary (OK), 0:34.52, 91.7, 0:34.48, 0:34.58, N/A
World of Flames (KY), 0:34.52, 91.7, 0:34.43, 0:34.63, N/A
Know Im Not Scared (OK), 0:34.52, 91.7, 0:34.48, 0:34.58, N/A
The Boy Wonder (MD), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.48, 0:34.58, N/A
Santino Fontana (CA), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.43, 0:34.63, N/A
Justus (KY), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.53, N/A, N/A
Look Charged (FL), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.58, 0:34.49, N/A
Plenty of Sadie (FL), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.34, 0:34.73, N/A
A Pint of Bear (FL), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.48, 0:34.68, 0:34.45
Hunter's Prey (TX), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.38, 0:34.75, 0:34.45
Old Town Road (CA), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.53, N/A, N/A
Calleja Risa (OK), 0:34.53, 91.5, 0:34.53, 0:34.53, N/A
Marmara (KY), 0:34.54, 91.3, 0:34.48, 0:34.56, 0:34.59
Scream My Name (TTO), 0:34.54, 91.3, 0:34.58, 0:34.51, N/A
Seek the Unknown (KY), 0:34.54, 91.3, 0:34.48, 0:34.61, N/A
Look Vodoo (LA), 0:34.54, 91.3, 0:34.48, 0:34.60, N/A
Shout (MD), 0:34.54, 91.3, 0:34.34, 0:34.75, N/A
Orange Turned Blue (MN), 0:34.54, 91.3, 0:34.48, 0:34.61, N/A
Hey Jude (FL), 0:34.54, 91.3, 0:34.38, 0:34.75, 0:34.50
Know Me At Last (OK), 0:34.55, 91.1, 0:34.48, 0:34.63, N/A
Set Down in Order (TX), 0:34.55, 91.1, 0:34.58, 0:34.51, 0:34.57
Know How to Listen (OK), 0:34.55, 91.1, 0:34.48, 0:34.63, N/A
London Protocol (TX), 0:34.56, 90.9, 0:34.38, 0:34.75, N/A
This Guy Is Happy (LA), 0:34.56, 90.9, 0:34.58, 0:34.56, N/A
Walk in Shadows (CA), 0:34.56, 90.9, 0:34.58, 0:34.56, N/A
Dhevyn Can Jett (OK), 0:34.57, 90.7, 0:34.48, 0:34.58, 0:34.64
Temple of Syrinx (TX), 0:34.58, 90.5, 0:34.58, N/A, N/A
Midnight Homerun (CA), 0:34.58, 90.5, 0:34.58, N/A, N/A
Searchin (CA), 0:34.58, 90.5, 0:34.58, N/A, N/A
Kissed By Fire (MD), 0:34.59, 90.3, 0:34.58, 0:34.61, N/A
Looking Upon (TX), 0:34.59, 90.3, 0:34.58, 0:34.60, N/A
Decent Shot (LA), 0:34.59, 90.3, 0:34.43, 0:34.87, 0:34.48
Gray Sky Morning (CA), 0:34.60, 90.1, 0:34.58, 0:34.63, N/A
Millions (TX), 0:34.61, 89.9, 0:34.43, 0:34.80, N/A
Eze (TX), 0:34.61, 89.9, 0:34.48, 0:34.75, N/A
With An Answer (CA), 0:34.61, 89.9, 0:34.68, 0:34.56, N/A
Dull Spirit (NY), 0:34.61, 89.9, 0:34.63, 0:34.60, N/A
Gimme a Bud (CA), 0:34.61, 89.9, 0:34.58, 0:34.66, N/A
Standoffish (LA), 0:34.62, 89.7, 0:34.53, 0:34.73, N/A
Gangsta (LA), 0:34.62, 89.7, 0:34.58, 0:34.68, N/A
Flika Mika (MD), 0:34.64, 89.3, 0:34.38, 0:34.90, N/A
Beats Walking (LA), 0:34.65, 89.1, 0:34.48, 0:34.83, N/A
Cardinal Sin (TX), 0:34.65, 89.1, 0:34.53, 0:34.78, N/A
Instant Assassin (OK), 0:34.66, 88.9, 0:34.43, 0:34.90, N/A
World Flashes By (KY), 0:34.67, 88.6, 0:34.53, 0:34.70, 0:34.79
Mika Salo (TX), 0:34.70, 88.0, 0:34.58, 0:34.88, 0:34.63
King Envy (KY), 0:34.71, 87.8, 0:34.38, 0:35.18, 0:34.57
Zibanejad (KY), 0:34.71, 87.8, 0:34.43, 0:34.89, 0:34.80
Triple Silent (CA), 0:34.72, 87.6, 0:34.68, 0:34.78, N/A
Grand Stand (CA), 0:34.73, 87.4, 0:34.73, N/A, N/A
Slammed (CA), 0:34.74, 87.2, 0:34.68, 0:34.80, N/A
Shelby's Pantera (NY), 0:34.77, 86.6, 0:35.02, 0:34.53, N/A
Maggot (IL), 0:34.87, 84.6, 0:34.87, N/A, N/A
Seattle Zone (KY), 0:35.08, 80.3, 0:35.08, N/A, N/A
Tunzamummy (KY), 0:36.19, 57.5, 0:36.19, N/A, N/A

[John Smith]

Gracias!

[Autumn Blackmill]

Thank you for the update!

[Wc Lee]

I updated to reflect the change in Speed Figures and workout times prior to Year 44.

Storm (TX) is now at the top of the list